Saturday, November 29, 2008

Week 13 Post Thanksgiving Picks

The algorithm went 1-2 on Thanksgiving with respect to line betting.  Once again it underestimated the Cowboys.  Here are the rest of the picks for week 13.

Game Algorithm Personal Comments
49ers +6.5 @ Bills
Total: 42.5
Take the Bills and the over  
Ravens –7 @ Bengals
Total: 36
Take the Ravens and the over. This could get ugly early.  Wait.  It’s already ugly and they haven’t played yet.
Panthers +3 @ Packers
Total: 42.5
Take the Panthers and the over. This could be a good game.
Dolphins –9 @ Rams
Total: 44.5
Take the dolphins and the under.  
Colts –5 @ Browns
Total: 45
Take the Colts and the under Are the Colts really any good?  Given their soft schedule, it is hard to tell.
Saints +4 @ Buccaneers
Total: 47
Take the Buccaneers and the over. Let down possibilities for the Saints here.
Giants –3.5 @ Redskins
Total: 41.5
Take the Giants and the over. For Cowboys fans, this is like King Kong v. Godzilla.  Who cares though it would probably be better if the Giants win this.
Falcons +4.5 @ Chargers
Total: 48
Take the Falcons and the under. At some point, Vegas needs to acknowledge the Chargers are a poor team.
Broncos +7.5 @ Jets
Total: 47.5
Take the Jets and the over.  
Chiefs +3 @ Raiders
total: 41.5
Take the Raiders and the over. My goodness.  I personally would not touch this game with a 10’ pole.
Steelers +1 @ Patriots
Total: 40
Take Pittsburgh.  The algorithm also repdicts 40 points so cannot pick the over/under. I personally think the Patriots win this game and possibly even comfortably.
Bears +3.5 @ Vikings
Total: 42
Take the Bears and the over. Algorithm predicts a Vikings win but by only 3 points.
Jaguars +3 @ Texans
Total: 48
Take the Jaguars and the under. If I had been shown this line at the start of the year, I might have bet the house on the Jags.  Now, I have no idea and probably don’t even care.

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