Right/Wrong Profit/Loss Cumulative Profit/Loss
Straight 11/12 482.08 537.57
The Line 5/15 -535.71 29.05
Over/Under 8/16 -70.18 282.91
Although my algorithm picked virtually all the winners this week, its purpose is to predict the line wager and as such, it failed miserably this week and wiped out nearly all the profit made up to this point. That's the way it goes sometimes. The algorithm felt the pain of the Pittsburgh, San Diego ending. And speaking of that, I still do not understand the NFL's explanation at the time.
Most of this week's line misses were pretty straightforward. The games themselves were mostly high quality games and there seemed to be a lot of low scoring close games. The Cowboys won, which was a good thing if you are a Cowboys fan. That game reminded me of the second meeting between these two teams in 1977, a year in which the Cowboys eventually won the Super Bowl. In 1977, the Cowboys got off to an 8-0 start of the 14 game season. Then the wheels came off. They suffered an upset loss to the Cardinals at home on Monday Night Football, then got slammed hard in Pittsburgh 28-13. When they staggered to Washington the following week, the once seemingly invincible team looked like it might drop out of the NFC East lead at any moment. Washington scored a quick first quarter touchdown in front of their crazed fans and things were not looking good. But the Cowboys stumbled out of RFK stadium with a hard fought 14-7 win. If there had been blogs in those days, the win would probably have been described as unimpressive and I believe it was at the time. But this game was a turning point for the 1977 season and the Cowboys began their road to recovery in Washington. I hope they can do the same this time around.
But how good are the Giants? They are not just beating good teams, they are destroying them like so much paper fluff. You never know what happens in the long months of November and December, but they look the goods to me.
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