Since 1980 I have ranked NFL teams based purely on numbers. Aside from my algorithm's few basic assumptions, this strips all emotions and opinions out of the equation. I'm not saying this makes my rankings superior to all other rankings, but it offers another way of evaluating teams in the NFL. Over the years, I have refined the algorithm to the point that I believe it now portrays a very accurate picture of how teams stack up against one another. My algorithm is based on the following basic assumptions.
Assume nothing at the start of the year. Before week 1, all teams are considered equal.
We all have our opinions at the start of the year but anyone who has watched any sports league for any length of time knows that "on paper" is pretty useless. This means for the first couple of weeks, the rankings are meaningless because there are not enough numbers to make a good analysis of the teams. But as the season progresses, the algorithm comes into its own. I'll just say I use it to put money on it.
Any win is worth rewarding
Some wins are ugly, some are closer than they should be, but the NFL is all about winning.
Over time, very good teams should slaughter very bad teams. Wins over highly ranked teams are worth more than wins against low ranked teams. The reverse is true. Losses against low ranked teams are worse for ranking purposes than losses against highly ranked teams
While this is an opinion, I apply it equally to all games.
After week 10, the rankings are as follows:
1 | Tennessee Titans |
2 | New York Giants |
3 | Baltimore Ravens |
4 | Carolina Panthers |
5 | New York Jets |
6 | Arizona Cardinals |
7 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
8 | Pittsburgh Steelers |
9 | Philadelphia Eagles |
10 | Atlanta Falcons |
11 | Miami Dolphins |
12 | Chicago Bears |
13 | Indianapolis Colts |
14 | New England Patriots |
15 | Green Bay packers |
16 | San Diego Chargers |
17 | Minnesota Vikings |
18 | Washington Redskins |
19 | Dallas Cowboys |
20 | Jacksonville Jaguars |
21 | Cleveland Browns |
22 | New Orleans Saints |
23 | Buffalo Bills |
24 | Denver Broncos |
25 | Seattle Seahawks |
26 | San Francisco 49ers |
27 | Houston Texans |
28 | Kansas City Chiefs |
29 | Oakland Raiders |
30 | St. Louis Rams |
31 | Cincinnati Bengals |
32 | Detroit Lions |
1 comment:
Hi Marc,
I am a TV Producer working for an independent tv production company in London. I would love to speak to you about your experiences at Mount Carmel with the Branch Davidians.
It would be brilliant if you could email me your contact number and a convenient time to ring you for a chat.
My email contact is: Ali.Naushahi@raw.co.uk
Many thanks in advance Marc, and i look forward to hopefully speaking with you soon.
Warm regards,
Ali Naushahi (Miss)
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