Friday, June 10, 2016

Totally Random Euro 2016

Euro2016 is about to descend upon us.  Next to the World Cup, it is the most prestigious international football tournament there is.  Of course the mighty USA could take out any of these teams but the USA will have to be content with winning the Copa America instead.  And now that it is apparent I am indulging in fantasy, it’s that time again for the totally random tournament.  The results are completely random.  Neither the merits of the teams, nor home field advantage, nor recent form has anything to do with this tournament.  It’s completely random.  So here we go.

In the group stages, both France and Germany finish last.  So they are out.  And things started so well for France with a 2-0 win over Romania.  But the French campaign goes to the chiens after that.  A shock 3-0 loss to Albania followed by a 5-2 capitulation to Switzerland and the host nation bids au revoir to the tournament.  Too bad too because this is who I’m going for, along with Iceland.

Germany’s campaign is not worth mentioning.  England disappoints but they manage to scrape through as one of the surviving third place teams.  I fear the English are in for a hard crash landing as usual.

Round of 16
Albania takes down the Ukraine in a penalty shootout which follows a 1-1 score line.  The Czech Republic knock surprising Hungary out 2-1.  After playing to a 3-3 tie, Switzerland downs Slovakia in the most bizarre penalty shootout of all time in which only one penalty goal is scored.  You get things like this in the totally random tournament.  After the game all Slovakian penalty shooters are sacked from the team permanently.  Next, Austria, after powering their way to the top of Group F, blast Italy back to the stone age 5-1.  Italy cuts diplomatic ties with Austria and Europe has yet another crisis to take their minds off the looming British exit.  Unfortunately, this diversion only lasts a short while because after England goes down to Poland 1-0, the British exit seems inevitable.  And indeed, the exit vote overwhelms the stay vote.  Officially, England puts this down to dissatisfaction with the way Brussels runs things.  But the truth is by exiting Europe, England has a better chance of convincing FIFA to allow them to exist in a weaker group, like CONCACAF for example.  Looks like we’ll see England in the next Copa America.  Belgium defeats Croatia 3-1 on penalties, the third round of 16 match that has gone to penalties.  In the 4th match to go to penalties, Cinderella Romania goes down 4-2 to Sweden.  And finally, Portugal suffers a stunning blowout loss to Russia 5-1.

Quarterfinals
Now that just about all the big names are out, it looks like you might as well throw dice to predict the rest of the tournament.  In a way, that is exactly what we’re doing here except we’ve been throwing dice all along.  There is dancing in the streets in Albania as this team continues its stunning emergence from obscurity to down the Czech Republic in a well-played 5-3 quarterfinal match.  In a not so exciting match, Switzerland power past Austria 5-0.  Austria certainly won’t be back for the semi-finals after their dismal performance.  Belgium takes care of business and does what everyone expects they should do against Poland and wipes them out 4-0.  In the final quarterfinal match, Sweden take down Russia 2-0.  Not much to say about that game.

Semi-finals
I think it’s safe to say we have semi-finals matches that no one predicted.  Except here of course.  In the first match, Switzerland stops the party in Albania with a 5-0 win.  The Albanians are happy to have come this far.  Meanwhile the Swiss government claims if they actually win the tournament, they will end their neutrality.  No one really knows why they will do this but most experts put it down to giddiness at being so close to the impossible dream.  Their opponents?  Belgium.  The Belgian defence which we always knew would be solid blanks Sweden as they cruise to a 5-0 win.

The Final
So here we have it.  The headquarters of European government, minus England of course, and the headquarters of European finance going at it for the ultimate, or second ultimate prize.  The ultimate prize is of course the Copa America win which the USA is celebrating by now.  Yes, the fantasy continues.  So either Belgium or Switzerland will have to settle for being the champions of Europe.  Just as in real life, money runs the world while governments only think they do, Belgium shuts down Switzerland 3-0.  Belgium celebrates as they proclaim themselves the best, while the Swiss continue dominating the world behind the scenes and pulling all the strings. 

After conceding 1 goal in the round of 16, Belgium goes through the rest of the knock-out phase without conceding a single goal.  So congratulations to Belgium, the 2016 Totally Random Champions of Europe.


My real life prediction?  It’s hard to say really.  It’s easy to pick the usual favorites.  I’ll go with the host nation France.  If I have to choose a dark horse, though, I will say the Czech Republic.  The most Cinderella winner though would be mighty Iceland who did really well to qualify.   Let’s hope for a good tournament and for at least one Cinderella to make things exciting.