Sunday, September 6, 2015

The Completely Random 2015 AFL Finals

OK Australia.  This is what you have all been waiting for, the all random AFL finals.  For any American friends who decide to waste their time reading this – and I hope you do – AFL stands for Australian Football League as opposed to the American Federation of Labor.  But this is primarily for Australians because Australia is really the only country which cares about this great sport.  As always, completely random means just that.  Merit, home field, and form are not factors in this whatsoever.  This is the computerized equivalent of tossing dice.  And of course, I could run this simulation many times and get all kinds of results, but half the fun is to run this once, and once only to get the winner.  And so let it be done.

The first round sees both Qualifying Finals in West Australia.  The winner gets a bye in round 2 and a home preliminary final.  Given the economic battering West Australia is suffering at the moment, this is just what the state needs.  Of course, what the state really needs is for both their teams to actually win.  The first game features the High Flying Eagles who finished second during the home and away season against the flag favourite Hawks who finished third.  And yes, the Hawks are the flag favourites even though they are third.  Sadly for West Australia, the first game ends in disappointment as the Hawks destroy the Eagles on their own ground 150 to 63. 

But fear not.  The Dockers who were able to rest all of their really important players, because they finished 1st get to face the Swans who had to win to keep 4th position.  Unfortunately for the Dockers, someone forgot to tell their players to stop resting.  The Swans score a big upset over the Dockers 84 to 55.  So instead of hosting two preliminary finals in West Australia, they will host none.

Now West Australia is truly depressed and no football team can be responsible for the chaos that might follow.  Meanwhile in Melbourne we have the Western Bulldogs, the Cinderella team of 2015 hosting the schizophrenic Crows who look like they could beat the all star team one week, and look like they would have no all stars the next.  The Crows have had a tough and tragic season due to the unexpected death of their head coach and for them, 2015 ends as the Bulldogs rampage to a 108 point victory 164 to 56.

But forget all that.  I’m a Tigers supporter and the Tigers are playing their nemesis North Melbourne.  The Kangaroos always seem to find a way to beat the Tigers into oblivion.  But this time, the Tigers roar loudest and do what a real tiger would probably do to a real kangaroos slaughtering North Melbourne ruthlessly 163 to 90.  How they could play so poorly against North Melbourne B during the last round of the regular season, and play so well against a full strength squad will occupy the minds of football historians for decades to come.  But win they have.

At the end of the first round of the finals then, we have this situation.  The Hawks and Swans get to relax for a week.  But the bloodletting continues.  Round 2 gives us two pretty good matchups.  The Dockers play the Tigers while the Eagles play the Bulldogs.  The Tigers and Dockers have already played twice.  They have won one game apiece though the Tigers should have won the second encounter.  The Tigers win the rubber match in West Australia by 40 points 69 to 109.

And poor West Australia is plunged into unfathomable despair as the Bulldogs defeat the Eagles in West Australia in an absolute thriller 153 to 147.  That’s actually a possible score if these two teams play in the real world.  West Australia has now lost four consecutive finals matches in two weeks.  Aside from therapists, everyone else in the state is nearly beyond salvage by this stage.  Only New South Wales and Victoria remain.

The Preliminary Finals feature a rested Swans team playing the Bulldogs who just won the shootout of the century against the Eagles.  Bulldogs supporters, who have not seen a flag since 1954 are really excited and their excitement rises to fever intensity as the ever-scoring Bulldogs end the Swans’ season in Sydney 117 to 83.  A nice 34 point win propels the always underdog Bulldogs into the Grand Final.  Will Cinderella get the Prince in the end?

In Melbourne, the Hawks, who have won back-to back flags play a Tigers team which usually plays pretty well against the champs.  The Tigers beat them earlier in the season but the Hawks also beat the Tigers.  So once again, the Tigers are involved in a rubber match.  And just as they did against the Dockers, they prevail against the mighty Hawks by 19 points 115 to 96.  This gives us a grand final pairing the Bulldogs, who have gone 60 years without a flag, against the Tigers, who have gone 34 years without one.  The Bulldogs are still Cinderella though because although the Tigers have also seen a long drought, they have many flags whereas the poor Bulldogs have only the one in 1954 in their entire history.  So the Tigers become the evil step-mother though for Tigers fans like myself, there is no pity or compassion for the Bulldogs.  We want a slaughter so we can relax and enjoy the 4th quarter, counting down to our first flag since 1980.

I should also point out that every time I have done a random tournament before in other sports, the favourite has always been picked.  With the Tigers completely random defeat of the Hawks, this sad state of affairs finally comes to an end.

In the Grand Final, on that storied last Saturday in September. . .wait. . .this year it’s the 1st Saturday in October.  You know, there’s just something wrong about that.  Grand Finals should be played in September because they should be played in September.  But so be it.  On that not very storied 1st Saturday in October, the evil step-mother destroys Cinderella and heartless Tigers supporters like me get what we want.  Richmond gets a massive Grand Final win of 83 points 130 to 47.  Richmond’s top defence finally stops the Dogs amazing scoring machine.  And as we say in America, defence wins championships.  This proves true again.

Oh we’re from Tigerland!!  The Richmond Tigers are the 2015 Completely Random champions.  Oh if only reality could mirror this.  And no, my program was not fixed.  It was actually completely random.  What an exciting finals that was.